The russian forces have a serious problem – they cannot turn their tactical successes into operational ones – ISW

russian forces are unlikely to be able to commit enough resources for any offensive operation in the coming months

What happened? russian forces’ failure to capitalise on prior gains around Bakhmut and Avdiyivka is an example of a fundamental russian military problem – the inability to translate tactical gains into operational successes. 

Source. Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Details. According to analysts, in such a way, the occupiers constantly give the Ukrainians time to disengage tactically and re-establish defensible positions against which the russians must then launch new deliberate attacks. 

“This phenomenon helps explain the extremely slow rate of russian advances in the east and strongly suggests that the russians will be unable to take much more ground in the coming months unless the situation develops in unforeseen ways,” experts say.

They add that russian forces will likely remain unable to commit enough resources to any one offensive operation to regain the momentum necessary for significant territorial advances that translate to operational successes. 

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