Worst conditions for offensive expected in March due to weather – British intelligence
However, perceived political or operational opportunities may override such concerns
What happened? The weather continues to play a significant role in the russian-Ukrainian war. The worst conditions for an offensive are expected in March.
Source. Report by the Defence Intelligence, published on Twitter of the UK Ministry of Defence.
Details. "The weather continues to play a significant role in the course of russia’s war in Ukraine. With the ground frozen, there has likely been little change in cross country mobility (CCM) conditions in eastern Ukraine in recent weeks.
On February 8, 2023, surface temperatures were around 0 degrees Celsius; over the coming week, forecasts suggest soil temperature increases and snow melt are likely to deteriorate CCM across the Donbas," the report says.
At the same time, it is noted that CCM is likely to be at its worst, with extremely muddy conditions, over mid- to late-March, so commanders on both sides will highly likely seek to avoid scheduling major offensives at such times.
"However, perceived political or operational opportunities can override such concerns, as demonstrated by russia launching its invasion in late-February 2022," the British Intelligence emphasises.
Previously. To recap: over the past day, the Air Force carried out 21 strikes on areas of occupiers concentration.
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